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AHT: 11CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Bromley
28.7%
Draw
18.2%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Bromley

vs
0.75

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).