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DHT: 10CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Forfar
29.8%
Draw
53.8%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Forfar

vs
1.35

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.1%
0-0
14.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).