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27 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.1%
Altrincham
27.1%
Draw
29.8%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Altrincham

vs
1.24

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).