Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Aldershot
25.3%
Draw
23.1%
Brackley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Aldershot
vs
1.12
Brackley Town
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).