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06 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Norwich
27.0%
Draw
42.0%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Norwich

vs
1.50

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).