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04 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Leyton Orient
34.4%
Draw
29.0%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Leyton Orient

vs
0.72

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS29.1%
Over 0.580.0%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.521.1%
Over 3.57.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.0%
1-0
18.2%
0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).