Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Osasuna
29.0%
Draw
39.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Osasuna
vs
1.21
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).