Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Ebbsfleet
28.6%
Draw
51.2%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Ebbsfleet
vs
1.47
Chorley
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).