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08 Feb 2026 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Mechelen
30.0%
Draw
30.2%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Mechelen

vs
1.04

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).