Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
St Pauli
27.9%
Draw
51.3%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
St Pauli
vs
1.51
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.1%
0-2
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).