Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Shrewsbury
27.0%
Draw
39.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Shrewsbury
vs
1.15
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).