Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Leganes
29.1%
Draw
12.4%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Leganes
vs
0.43
Lugo
Markets
BTTS25.2%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.2%
0-0
17.9%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
4-0
2.1%
0-2
1.7%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).