Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.1%
Liverpool
13.5%
Draw
5.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Liverpool
vs
0.68
Leicester
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).