Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Levante
22.7%
Draw
26.5%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Levante
vs
1.26
Castellon
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).