Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Port Vale
26.5%
Draw
22.1%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Port Vale
vs
0.80
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).