Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Bolton
21.7%
Draw
17.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Bolton
vs
0.78
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).