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AHT: 11CSV

02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.2%
Wycombe
19.4%
Draw
22.3%
Barnsley

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Wycombe

vs
1.19

Barnsley

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).