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HHT: 10CSV

28 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.6%
Forest Green
27.2%
Draw
16.2%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Forest Green

vs
0.73

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).