Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Forest Green
27.4%
Draw
41.9%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Forest Green
vs
1.25
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).