Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Numancia
26.0%
Draw
33.8%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Numancia
vs
1.24
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).