Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Alessandria
27.4%
Draw
49.6%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Alessandria
vs
1.60
Pisa
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).