Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Leeds
24.0%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Leeds
vs
0.58
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).