Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.2%
Värnamo
13.0%
Draw
82.8%
Mjällby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Värnamo
vs
2.71
Mjällby
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.7%
0-3
13.2%
0-1
10.2%
0-4
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
0-5
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).