Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Hertha
24.3%
Draw
21.0%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Hertha
vs
1.11
Dresden
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).