Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Sudtirol
32.4%
Draw
21.7%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sudtirol
vs
0.76
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).