Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Villarreal B
28.4%
Draw
31.9%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Villarreal B
vs
1.05
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).