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AHT: 02CSV

05 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Bielefeld
30.6%
Draw
32.8%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Bielefeld

vs
1.13

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).