Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
St Pauli
31.3%
Draw
25.1%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
St Pauli
vs
0.87
Bochum
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).