Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Parma
25.9%
Draw
59.4%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Parma
vs
1.48
Milan
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-2
14.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.2%
0-4
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
2-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).