Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Stranraer
32.5%
Draw
42.7%
Spartans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Stranraer
vs
1.33
Spartans
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).