Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Swindon
16.2%
Draw
17.2%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Swindon
vs
1.38
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
3-2
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
4-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).