Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Lens
22.3%
Draw
21.0%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Lens
vs
1.01
Lyon
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).