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HHT: 11CSV

20 May 2024 · 19:30

Oviedo

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Espanol
30.8%
Draw
29.5%
Oviedo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Espanol

vs
0.88

Oviedo

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).