Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.6%
Barcelona
8.2%
Draw
4.2%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Barcelona
vs
0.82
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.582.8%
Over 3.566.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.2%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
4-1
7.0%
5-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
5-1
5.2%
1-0
3.9%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).