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DHT: 11CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Altrincham
32.5%
Draw
26.7%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Altrincham

vs
0.87

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).