Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Hamilton
26.7%
Draw
16.4%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Hamilton
vs
0.71
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).