Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Torino
22.3%
Draw
18.5%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Torino
vs
0.90
Monza
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).