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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
CSKA Moskva
24.8%
Draw
22.8%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

CSKA Moskva

vs
1.20

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).