Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Swansea
30.9%
Draw
35.3%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Swansea
vs
1.15
Millwall
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).