Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Lorient
22.8%
Draw
29.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Lorient
vs
1.21
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).