Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Alaves
37.1%
Draw
22.1%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Alaves
vs
0.55
Burgos
Markets
BTTS24.3%
Over 0.575.7%
Over 1.541.1%
Over 2.516.9%
Over 3.55.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.3%
1-0
21.1%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
2-2
1.4%
0-3
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).