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DHT: 01

29 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
Norwich
23.8%
Draw
20.7%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Norwich

vs
1.11

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).