Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Carlisle
16.6%
Draw
70.5%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Carlisle
vs
2.26
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).