Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Metz
20.1%
Draw
57.1%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Metz
vs
2.14
Lorient
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).