Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Chesterfield
22.0%
Draw
13.9%
Kidderminster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Chesterfield
vs
0.84
Kidderminster
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).