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06 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Norwich
29.6%
Draw
41.3%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Norwich

vs
1.32

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).