Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Spezia
29.8%
Draw
38.0%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Spezia
vs
1.08
Venezia
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).