Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Sporting Gijón
25.7%
Draw
33.2%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.24
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).