Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.6%
Fenerbahce
14.9%
Draw
6.4%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Fenerbahce
vs
0.89
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).