Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
St Mirren
28.2%
Draw
55.2%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
St Mirren
vs
1.44
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).